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Analysis

Why India and Vietnam Need Each Other

India and Vietnam have enjoyed close ties based on their shared history of fighting against colonial rule. In addition, there is a deep cultural connection between the two as well.

The former kingdom of Champa in present-day Vietnam was deeply influenced by Indian traditions and customs. [READ MORE]

China is Dominating Scarborough Shoal. Here's Why It Matters.

Scarborough Shoal is a settled issue. Not in a good way and not just as a result of Philippines President Duterte’s “ready, fire, aim” approach to statesmanship.

It matters not if China builds new facilities there on yet more coral dredged from the seabed. Since the Shoal came to public prominence in 2012 following the Philippine arrest of Chinese fishermen it has been dominated by China’s Maritime Militias. [READ MORE]

Why China's 'Bully' Strategy in the South China Sea (and Beyond) Has Failed

Conventional wisdom has long painted the Chinese as strategic and methodical planners, masters of statecraft with great foresight.

The West, and the US in particular, is hopeless in comparison. For many strategists, we aren’t even on the same board: Chinese are playing Go while the West plays checkers. [READ MORE]

China’s Non-Peaceful Rise Already in Play?

WASHINGTON: The People’s Republic of China is headed on a tragic trajectory that should be familiar to anyone with even cursory exposure to history.

Due to a complex composition of factors – a century of torment at the hands of western powers and Japan as well as a toxic brew of nationalism – the PRC is not content with its place as the world’s second largest economy, or even largest when using purchasing-parity power, or PPP, as the benchmark.  [READ MORE]

In South China Sea War, Would Russia Battle United States To Defend China?

China and Russia began eight days of military exercises in the South China Sea near southern China's Guangdong province Monday in the latest sign that Moscow is playing a role in growing tensions between Beijing and the United States over the contested waters.

The "Joint Sea-2016" naval exercise involves surface ships, submarines, fixed-wing aircraft, ship-borne helicopters and marines. [READ MORE]

Vietnam is struggling to unite its Mekong neighbours against China

Vietnam moved rocket launchers into disputed territory in the South China Sea, reports recently suggested, meaning it could potentially attack land that China has controversially reclaimed.

This all comes at a time of heightened tension over territorial wrangling in the region. [READ MORE]

Vietnam: A 'Pivot to Asia' for France?

French President Francois Hollande is paying a state visit to Vietnam from September 5 to 7. This represents a good omen for future exchanges between the two countries.

The emphasis will be officially put on cultural cooperation and the reinforcement of links between Paris and Hanoi. [READ MORE]

Time to rethink ASEAN

The East Asia Summit takes place in a shifting landscape. Tensions are brewing in the South and East China seas, the global economy is growing only slowly, and major trade accords face an uncertain future.

Yet few expect solutions from Asia-Pacific leaders gathering at the EAS. One major reason is that the group is a creature of ASEAN, which is dedicated to process, not results. [READ MORE]

Is ASEAN about to fracture?

The ten Southeast Asian nations making up ASEAN will also hold their summit in Vientiane, almost as a sideshow alongside the EAS. Yet they are there because ASEAN is at the centre of Asian regionalism and regional cooperation.

The ASEAN grouping celebrates its 50th anniversary next year and continues to defy the odds on falling apart. [READ MORE]

The Legacy of Obama’s “Pivot” to Asia

The administration will portray this as a victory lap, asserting that Obama is America’s first “Pacific president” (in fact, Richard Nixon made a similar claim in 1969, while William H. Taft, Herbert Hoover, John F. Kennedy, and George H.W. Bush also spent formative years in the region).

The administration will also claim credit for a wave of initiatives that actually started in the George W. Bush administration (the G-20, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the strategic partnership with India, the Pacific Command force posture changes, etc.). [READ MORE]

Vietnam's Three Strategic Options

China’s actions in the South China Sea are increasingly militaristic. Due to Vietnam’s lack of strong treaty allies, the country is particularly vulnerable compared to its peers.

In response to Vietnam’s deteriorating security situation, it is likely to choose one of three strategies: 1) continue the current strategy of hedging between the U.S., China and Russia; 2) ally with the U.S. against China; or 3) develop Vietnam’s military capabilities, including a potential nuclear deterrent. [READ MORE]

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