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Analysis

Could the South China Sea dispute trigger a Sino-US war?

Chinese expansion in the South China Sea is bringing conflict between Beijing and its neighbours – Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and Vietnam – closer than it has been for decades.

Vietnam has fortified several islands it controls, while Japan has been publicly rebuked by Beijing over its 'interference' in the sea – most of which China claims. The Philippines has called for "restraint and sobriety" as its own dispute with Beijing rumbles on. [READ MORE]

China, The Underdog Now, Will Work With Vietnam On Sea Dispute

Senior officials from China and Vietnam, never friends and even less so over the past two years, vowed this week to work more together – substantially – on a deep maritime dispute.

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang and Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc pledged Tuesday they would “properly manage maritime differences and further enhance bilateral substantial cooperation” in the South China Sea, according to Beijing’s government-run Xinhua News Agency.

Why India and Vietnam Need Each Other

India and Vietnam have enjoyed close ties based on their shared history of fighting against colonial rule. In addition, there is a deep cultural connection between the two as well.

The former kingdom of Champa in present-day Vietnam was deeply influenced by Indian traditions and customs. [READ MORE]

China is Dominating Scarborough Shoal. Here's Why It Matters.

Scarborough Shoal is a settled issue. Not in a good way and not just as a result of Philippines President Duterte’s “ready, fire, aim” approach to statesmanship.

It matters not if China builds new facilities there on yet more coral dredged from the seabed. Since the Shoal came to public prominence in 2012 following the Philippine arrest of Chinese fishermen it has been dominated by China’s Maritime Militias. [READ MORE]

Why China's 'Bully' Strategy in the South China Sea (and Beyond) Has Failed

Conventional wisdom has long painted the Chinese as strategic and methodical planners, masters of statecraft with great foresight.

The West, and the US in particular, is hopeless in comparison. For many strategists, we aren’t even on the same board: Chinese are playing Go while the West plays checkers. [READ MORE]

China’s Non-Peaceful Rise Already in Play?

WASHINGTON: The People’s Republic of China is headed on a tragic trajectory that should be familiar to anyone with even cursory exposure to history.

Due to a complex composition of factors – a century of torment at the hands of western powers and Japan as well as a toxic brew of nationalism – the PRC is not content with its place as the world’s second largest economy, or even largest when using purchasing-parity power, or PPP, as the benchmark.  [READ MORE]

In South China Sea War, Would Russia Battle United States To Defend China?

China and Russia began eight days of military exercises in the South China Sea near southern China's Guangdong province Monday in the latest sign that Moscow is playing a role in growing tensions between Beijing and the United States over the contested waters.

The "Joint Sea-2016" naval exercise involves surface ships, submarines, fixed-wing aircraft, ship-borne helicopters and marines. [READ MORE]

Vietnam is struggling to unite its Mekong neighbours against China

Vietnam moved rocket launchers into disputed territory in the South China Sea, reports recently suggested, meaning it could potentially attack land that China has controversially reclaimed.

This all comes at a time of heightened tension over territorial wrangling in the region. [READ MORE]

Vietnam: A 'Pivot to Asia' for France?

French President Francois Hollande is paying a state visit to Vietnam from September 5 to 7. This represents a good omen for future exchanges between the two countries.

The emphasis will be officially put on cultural cooperation and the reinforcement of links between Paris and Hanoi. [READ MORE]

Time to rethink ASEAN

The East Asia Summit takes place in a shifting landscape. Tensions are brewing in the South and East China seas, the global economy is growing only slowly, and major trade accords face an uncertain future.

Yet few expect solutions from Asia-Pacific leaders gathering at the EAS. One major reason is that the group is a creature of ASEAN, which is dedicated to process, not results. [READ MORE]

Is ASEAN about to fracture?

The ten Southeast Asian nations making up ASEAN will also hold their summit in Vientiane, almost as a sideshow alongside the EAS. Yet they are there because ASEAN is at the centre of Asian regionalism and regional cooperation.

The ASEAN grouping celebrates its 50th anniversary next year and continues to defy the odds on falling apart. [READ MORE]

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