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Analysis

Emergence of South China Sea as a Flash Point

Notwithstanding some moves to manage the South China Sea disputes by having a Code of Conduct, the current developments, which are raising the level of tension among the different claimants, do not generate optimism for any positive outcome. An objective examination of the recent activities would suggest that situation is fast moving in the direction of a limited conflict, which would have the potentials of taking the shape of a large conflict with outside powers being drawn into the conflict.

At the outset it is important to state that India has a great stake in the South China Sea. Our entire trade with China, Japan, Vietnam, Philippines Indonesia, Malaysia, Brunei and 55% of trade with US passes through the South China Sea.

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